Forecasters in finance, stocks, the economy, sports and elections fall to this reality.
The key to getting and keeping a job as a public forecaster (television sports analyst, political pundit or business channel commentator) has little to do with being accurate. Just make sure you entertain the crowd.
On the other hand, being amusing matters not a whit to your success as a trader or investor. The market does not reward the trader or sports bettor because he tells a great story.